Jornal de doenças infecciosas e patologia

Abstrato

Interactions and Evolutionary Dynamics of Lassa Fever Instances in Nigeria

Haruki Aoi

The unfold of Lassa fever contamination is growing in West Africa over the ultimate decade. The influence of this can higher is understood when thinking about the number feasible transmission routes. We designed a mathematical mannequin for the epidemiology of Lassa fever the use of a gadget of nonlinear normal differential equations to decide the impact of transmission pathways towards the contamination development in human beings and rodents which include these typically ignored such as the environmental floor and aerosol routes. We analyzed the mannequin and carried out numerical simulations to decide they have an impact on of every transmission routes. Our consequences confirmed that the burden of Lassa fever contamination is extended when all the transmission routes are included and most single transmission routes are much less harmful, however when in mixture with different transmission routes, they enlarge the Lassa fever burden.